dr_tectonic: (Beem-Ur the Destructor)
Okay! So as promised, the discussion of how to address the question of global warming / human climate disruption, given that it is steeped in uncertainty.

blather blather )

EDIT: I forgot about a couple other lines of evidence that strongly support the idea that increased CO2 is due to burning fossil fuels: (1) there's a geographic correlation (northern hemisphere vs southern hemisphere, taking into account atmospheric mixing times) between CO2 levels and industrialization, and (2) the isotope ratio of atmospheric carbon is consistent with the extra CO2 coming from fossil fuels. So actually, when you take that along with the correlation in timing and amount of CO2 increase, what I said above is wrong -- we ARE fairly sure where the extra CO2 is coming from, and it's from human activity.
dr_tectonic: (Beem-Ur the Destructor)
Update post coming soon, but first:

I read this annoying editorial in the newspaper this morning about global warming (which I'm going to refer to as "human climate disruption" instead, because calling it "global warming" misleads the discussion). Actually, I only read about half of it, because as I said, it was annoying.

I was pondering a counter-letter to the editor, but then I realized that it was unlikely to do any good if I didn't address the issues in contention. If you're going to try and change somebody's mind with new information, you have to figure out what information would actually matter, or all you're going to do is add heat to the disagreement.

And so, a quiz:

[Poll #751016]

If you answered anything other than A, I'd like to try and change your mind, so leave a comment explaning why (generally speaking) you don't find the idea persuasive.

I was thinking that I'd write a short explanation of the physics involved, because it's actually pretty straightforward. But I want to know whether that's actually where the disagreement arises...